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Thanks Marianne, I can recall that it is important to distinguish absolute from relative risk. For example, a 5% absolute risk of getting sick from Covid after vaccinating is quite a meaningless figure, if, say, only 20% of the entire population gets sick. In that case, the relative risk or better, the real risk reduction would be down from a 20% to a 5% risk of getting sick with Covid. The most important issue is avoiding serious illness, hospitalisation and death, not just avoiding a flu. I don’t think we ever got high quality data on that, though people continue to claim the vaccines reduced these risks substantially. But I’m still open to being convinced otherwise.

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Thank you David for this article with very relevant links to the evidence. In particular the interview of Bourla! For the Telegraph article from 2022 I couldn't access it without signing in. I would have a question about the misleading claim that the vaccine was 95% effective, without explanation that this was the relative risk. People thought: out of 95 people vaccinated only 5 will get covid, or if I'm being exposed to covid, in 95% of these occasions I will not catch it... I know this was wrong and there is an obligation for medical people to give also the absolute risk. I have forgotten the calculation, but believe that the number needed to treat to save 1 life is huge. If you have access to a recapitulation on this it would be very helpful. With all best wishes,

Marianne

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